Demographic Transition Model

Carson West

1. Demographic Transition Model

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This model illustrates the shifts in birth rates, death rates, and population growth as societies develop.

Stage Birth Rate Death Rate Population Growth Key Characteristics Examples
1. Pre-industrial High High Stable (low) Limited healthcare, sanitation, and food security. Uncontacted tribes, everyone before the 1700s
2. Early Industrial High Falling Rapid increase Improved sanitation and healthcare; reduced infant mortality. created by Cultural Lag Poorer MENA, Africa, Central Asia
3. Late Industrial Falling Falling Slowing increase Increased urbanization, education, and family planning. Central and South America, Wealthier MENA Countries, Wealthier SEA countries, India
4. Post-industrial Low Low Stable (high) or decreasing High living standards, aging population. US, Canada, Argentina, Australia, New Zealand, Most of europe
5. (Speculative) Very Low Low Declining Extremely low fertility rates. Russia, Japan, Germany

Factors Driving the Transition:

2. Epidemiologic Transition Model

This model explains the leading causes of death in each stage of the demographic transition.

Stage Dominant Health Threats
1. Pestilence and Famine Infectious diseases, malnutrition
2. Receding Pandemics Improved sanitation and healthcare lead to a decline in infectious diseases.
3. Degenerative Diseases Chronic illnesses like heart disease, cancer, and diabetes rise due to lifestyle changes.
4. Delayed Degenerative Diseases Medical advancements prolong life, delaying the onset of chronic diseases.
5. (Potential) Re-emergence of infectious diseases due to antibiotic resistance and globalization.

Important Statistics:

Key Takeaways:

what is the changes in lifestyle seen in demographic transiotion model stage 4?a

Here’s a breakdown of lifestyle changes typically observed in Stage 4 of the Demographic Transition Model, along with the reasons behind them:

Stage 4: Low Stationary Stage

Key Demographic Characteristics:

Lifestyle Changes: APHG Unit 2

Examples of Countries in Stage 4:

Japan, Italy, Germany, South Korea, and many other developed countries are currently in or approaching Stage 4.

Important Note: While these trends are common in Stage 4 societies, there can be variations within and between countries due to cultural, economic, and political factors.